Dongen vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DON
2 - 1
ADO
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HOO
0 - 1
DON
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
DON
2 - 1
BLA
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
QUI
3 - 1
DON
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
EVV
1 - 1
DON
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USV
2 - 3
OOS
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
USV
17%
21%
62%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USV
0 - 1
GVV
57%
22%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
USV
3 - 0
EVV
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GEM
2 - 2
USV
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |