Dongen vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EVV
1 - 0
DON
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
DON
0 - 0
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UNA
1 - 5
DON
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
DON
3 - 0
WES
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OOS
1 - 2
DON
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
USV
3 - 0
LIE
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 0
USV
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OSS
4 - 2
USV
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
USV
1 - 5
QUI
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEM
0 - 2
USV
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |