Dongen vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 2
DON
34%
24%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DON
3 - 0
DEM
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
HBS
0 - 2
DON
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DON
1 - 0
GRA
60%
20%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EVV
0 - 0
DON
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
USV
1 - 3
WES
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JVC
2 - 4
USV
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
USV
5 - 3
OJC
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
OOS
2 - 1
USV
48%
23%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
USV
3 - 0
UNA
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |