Dongen vs OJC Rosmalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
17º
18º
17º
54
5º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HSC
4 - 1
DON
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DON
3 - 2
ADO
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DEM
2 - 2
DON
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
DON
2 - 2
USV
13%
19%
69%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DON
4 - 2
GVV
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
OJC Rosmalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 0
OJC
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OJC
1 - 2
USV
25%
23%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OJC
1 - 5
UNA
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
OJC
4 - 0
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 2
OJC
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |