Dongen vs HVCH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
3º
20
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
DON
3 - 3
JUL
54%
22%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
4 - 1
DON
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DON
4 - 2
ORI
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EVV
0 - 0
DON
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RKV
1 - 0
DON
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HVCH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HVC
1 - 2
WIT
34%
22%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
HVC
72%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HVC
2 - 2
JUL
21%
20%
60%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOE
0 - 0
HVC
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HVC
0 - 1
ORI
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |