Dongen vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
3º
68
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 3
DON
24%
21%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
DON
6 - 0
EVV
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 2
DON
29%
22%
50%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GVV
1 - 3
DON
49%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DON
1 - 2
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
RKV
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HVC
2 - 5
GOE
17%
20%
64%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOE
3 - 4
ACH
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
GOE
30%
22%
48%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 3
GOE
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |