Dongen vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
USV
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
WES
2 - 3
DON
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
DON
0 - 1
OOS
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HSC
0 - 2
DON
30%
23%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
DVS
3 - 1
DON
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GEM
1 - 2
WES
49%
22%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 0
GEM
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GEM
1 - 1
QUI
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
USV
2 - 0
GEM
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 2
GEM
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |