Dongen vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 2
DON
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DON
1 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RKS
1 - 2
DON
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DON
2 - 0
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
OJC
1 - 4
DON
67%
19%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
2 - 0
DEU
47%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DEU
4 - 1
GEM
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 0
NUE
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
2 - 0
GEM
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GEM
1 - 1
EHC
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |