Dongen vs Achilles '29 U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JUL
1 - 3
DON
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DON
2 - 0
MAG
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DON
1 - 3
GAE
15%
19%
67%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DED
4 - 4
DON
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DON
4 - 1
HSC
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Achilles '29 U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ACH
2 - 3
QUI
6%
12%
83%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
USV
3 - 3
ACH
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 1
OOS
5%
11%
84%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | +4 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JVC
2 - 4
ACH
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ACH
1 - 3
EVV
10%
19%
71%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | -1 |