Donegal Celtic vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DON
0 - 5
LIM
23%
23%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
DON
1 - 2
SYL
48%
22%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
QUB
2 - 1
DON
30%
24%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DON
4 - 3
BAN
37%
23%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DON
1 - 2
BAN
42%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LIM
5 - 0
LIS
77%
14%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 3
NEY
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 5
LIM
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 2
MOY
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
LIS
2 - 3
SYL
43%
23%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |