Donegal Celtic vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
DUN
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CLI
3 - 1
DON
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
BAL
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 3
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
9 - 0
COA
49%
22%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIS
1 - 2
CLI
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
LIN
4 - 0
LIS
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
3 - 0
LIS
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
GLE
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |