Donegal Celtic vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
DON
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
CRU
14%
21%
64%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
LIS
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
INS
1 - 1
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
LIM
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
INS
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |