NI League Promotion Play Offs Final
Global 1-0
Donegal Celtic vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
ARC
0 - 3
DON
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DON
1 - 0
BAL
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 2
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
DON
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
COA
0 - 4
DON
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
INS
1 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 2
INS
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |