Donegal Celtic vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 0
DON
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GLE
4 - 2
DON
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DON
0 - 3
LIN
9%
18%
73%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DON
2 - 1
GLE
20%
23%
58%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
DON
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
CRU
29%
25%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
3 - 1
LIS
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CRU
5 - 1
GLE
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
1 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |