Donegal Celtic vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
59%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
0 - 2
DON
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DON
0 - 4
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DON
2 - 1
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
DON
0 - 1
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
5 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
BAL
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 4
CRU
27%
23%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |