Donaufeld vs Aspern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SKS
3 - 0
DON
47%
24%
30%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DON
3 - 1
REN
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
KSV
0 - 2
DON
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
DON
4 - 0
MAN
40%
24%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DON
1 - 3
ICF
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aspern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
1 - 6
REN
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVA
0 - 4
ICF
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SCF
4 - 0
SVA
83%
12%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SVA
2 - 4
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |