Don Bosco vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PET
1 - 0
DON
45%
31%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DON
2 - 2
ASM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
0 - 1
DON
39%
32%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
DON
47%
29%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DON
0 - 0
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIO
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
BAL
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 1
TEM
37%
31%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 1
BAL
42%
32%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
AIG
3 - 1
BAL
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |