Dominica vs Grenada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
DMA
2 - 3
VCT
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DMA
0 - 2
LCA
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
0 - 0
DMA
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
VCT
3 - 2
DMA
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Grenada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
GRD
0 - 1
LCA
65%
19%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
GRD
0 - 0
VCT
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 1
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
GRD
2 - 1
LCA
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
GRD
0 - 2
HTI
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |