WC Qual. CONCACAF 1st Round Final
Global 1-2
Dominica vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
LBY
0 - 0
DMA
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 0
MAF
94%
5%
1%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
GLP
1 - 0
DMA
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 4
MTQ
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 5
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BRB
0 - 0
GTM
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
BRB
2 - 3
MTQ
41%
24%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2007 |
HTI
2 - 0
BRB
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
TTO
1 - 1
BRB
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |