Domagnano vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
COS
2 - 2
DOM
69%
19%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOM
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 1
DOM
82%
14%
5%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
DOM
1 - 1
JUV
24%
25%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAI
0 - 2
DOM
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FIO
24%
22%
54%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
0 - 2
PEN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 3
FAE
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |