Domagnano vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
VIR
3 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SMA
0 - 0
DOM
28%
23%
49%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 1
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DOM
1 - 1
SGI
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
COS
24%
24%
53%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PEN
0 - 4
MUR
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MUR
0 - 3
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FAE
1 - 0
MUR
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 4
TPE
21%
23%
56%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |