Matogrossense Final
Global 3-3
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
1 - 0
DBO
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
URO
1 - 0
DBO
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
DBO
0 - 0
URO
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
LTD
2 - 1
DBO
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
DBO
1 - 0
LTD
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
1 - 0
DBO
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
NME
2 - 0
LUV
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 0
NME
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
CUI
2 - 0
LUV
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
LUV
0 - 2
CUI
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |