Dom Bosco vs Caxias Joinville FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
0 - 2
SCI
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
1 - 3
AVA
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVA
1 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
COT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 0
PPE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +2 |