Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 0-1
Domžale vs FK Cukaricki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
DOM
3 - 1
SPL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 2
DOM
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
DOM
4 - 0
RAD
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
DOM
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
DOM
3 - 0
FCK
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ČUK
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
STR
3 - 1
ČUK
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
ČUK
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
ČUK
1 - 2
SBR
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FKS
1 - 0
ČUK
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |