Domžale vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 1
GOR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 4
DOM
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
DOM
2 - 2
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
DOM
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALU
0 - 0
DOM
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 5
MAR
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 2
CEL
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 1
KRS
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
STR
3 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 3
OLI
26%
27%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |