Dock Sud vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 1
DOC
34%
27%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
JJU
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
RIE
4 - 1
DOC
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 0
DOC
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JJU
2 - 1
DEF
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
CAD
60%
25%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
BER
1 - 2
DEF
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
DEF
16%
26%
58%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
LAM
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -2 |