Dock Sud vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CES
0 - 1
DOC
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
DOC
1 - 1
CBA
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 1
DOC
26%
28%
47%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOC
1 - 0
ARR
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 1
DOC
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 2
CLA
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
DPA
0 - 0
LUG
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 1
ITU
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
1 - 1
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CBA
3 - 1
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |