Dock Sud vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
YUP
3 - 1
DOC
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DOC
1 - 0
CES
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
JUU
1 - 1
DOC
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
DOC
1 - 1
MUÑ
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ARQ
1 - 0
DOC
61%
24%
15%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
3 - 0
CBA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CLA
1 - 0
LUG
32%
28%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
DPA
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RIE
0 - 1
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |