Dock Sud vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAA
3 - 1
DOC
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DOC
1 - 1
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
YUP
1 - 1
DOC
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DOC
4 - 0
CBA
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
CLA
0 - 2
DOC
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
CES
66%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAA
1 - 1
LUG
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
MID
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ITU
0 - 2
LUG
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
RIE
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |