Dock Sud vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 1
LAM
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 1
DOC
56%
25%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
DOC
1 - 1
ITU
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TAL
2 - 0
DOC
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DOC
0 - 0
JJU
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
ARM
40%
28%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 1
TAL
38%
28%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
JJU
2 - 2
ARM
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 3
CAD
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |