Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 1
DNI
17%
25%
59%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
DNI
4 - 0
KPT
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
FCK
2 - 0
DNI
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
DNI
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DNI
0 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HKS
6 - 0
ZAD
72%
18%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LOK
2 - 5
HKS
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
HKS
3 - 0
SHA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
HKS
2 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
SHA
4 - 2
HKS
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |