Dnepr Rogachev vs Leskhoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1496%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
8º
7º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Rogachev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FKV
4 - 2
ROG
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ROG
1 - 1
IPU
28%
19%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MNP
3 - 0
ROG
89%
8%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
REC
5 - 3
ROG
79%
12%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ZHL
2 - 0
ROG
61%
17%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leskhoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
4 - 0
REC
80%
13%
6%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZHL
0 - 5
FCL
11%
17%
72%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
FKS
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
MNP
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 0
FKV
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |