Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-3
Dnepr Mogilev vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
FKR
2 - 1
DNP
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
STB
2 - 2
DNP
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
DNP
7 - 1
LAÇ
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
DNM
3 - 0
DNP
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
DNP
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BBS
2 - 2
STB
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
STB
2 - 2
DNP
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
STB
2 - 3
VKG
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
STB
4 - 3
MFK
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
STB
3 - 3
FKT
91%
8%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |