Dnepr Mogilev vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SLA
2 - 1
DNP
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 1
DNP
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DNP
2 - 0
SHA
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FKS
0 - 1
DNP
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NAF
2 - 1
DNP
39%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NAF
1 - 3
DIN
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DNM
4 - 0
NAF
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
DIN
2 - 1
NAF
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NAF
2 - 1
DNP
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
1 - 2
NAF
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |