Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 8-2
Dnepr Mogilev vs Laçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
DNM
3 - 0
DNP
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
DNP
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 2
SHA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2010 |
PMI
1 - 0
DNP
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
DNP
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
KRU
1 - 0
LAÇ
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
KFS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
2 - 4
LAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
BES
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |