Dnepr Mogilev vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
16º
16º
40
3º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NEM
3 - 1
DNP
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DNP
2 - 3
FKS
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
3 - 1
DNP
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DNP
1 - 2
SLA
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 1
ISL
23%
22%
55%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 2
TOR
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 0
BAT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
NAF
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 1
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BAT
0 - 2
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |