UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 3-3
Djurgårdens IF vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ELF
0 - 2
DJU
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
DJU
48%
22%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2003 |
DJU
3 - 0
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
ORG
0 - 3
DJU
38%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
DJU
0 - 3
ORG
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 1
DJU
48%
22%
29%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
JAV
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
ZET
1 - 4
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
OBI
69%
18%
14%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BEO
0 - 2
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |