CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 0-4
Djoliba AC vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Djoliba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
LAL
1 - 1
DJO
39%
24%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DJO
1 - 0
LAL
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AAB
0 - 0
DJO
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
DJO
1 - 0
AAB
40%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DJO
1 - 1
STA
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
5 - 0
SAI
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
3 - 3
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
2 - 0
APR
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
TPM
5 - 2
VEC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
APR
1 - 0
TPM
14%
20%
66%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | -2 |