Union Frintrop vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
71.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
17º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
DJK
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 2
HIL
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
DJK
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 1
KLE
14%
17%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 0
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
MSV
2 - 2
MEE
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NET
1 - 0
MEE
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
3 - 1
MEE
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 3
STR
40%
21%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |