Union Frintrop vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7%
14%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
75.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
17º
70
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
5 - 2
MEE
13%
16%
71%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
DJK
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DJK
0 - 2
HIL
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HIL
0 - 0
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
STR
3 - 0
DJK
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SFB
4 - 0
HAM
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MEE
2 - 0
SFB
17%
20%
63%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
SFB
1 - 3
SPF
65%
19%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
3 - 1
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |