Union Frintrop vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
73.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
17º
17º
61
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 61% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 39% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
DJK
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
2 - 1
FCB
28%
21%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
SPE
20%
18%
62%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 0
DJK
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
GRA
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 3
MEE
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
KFC
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
6 - 0
NET
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 0
KFC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 3
STR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |