Diter Zafra vs Hernán Cortés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DPC
0 - 1
CDZ
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
CDZ
0 - 0
VIL
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
CDZ
70%
17%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CDZ
2 - 1
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
CDZ
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
HER
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
ORE
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TRU
0 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |