Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 6-2
Diósgyőr VTK vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
FHV
1 - 1
DIO
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
UJP
1 - 1
DIO
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DIO
3 - 0
PEC
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
DIO
2 - 1
FHV
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FTC
2 - 1
DIO
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
0 - 2
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
HIB
1 - 4
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
BIR
6 - 0
SLI
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 4
BIR
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BIR
1 - 0
BAL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |