Dingli Swallows vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 3
DIN
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DIN
4 - 0
MDI
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
DIN
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
DIN
0 - 1
SIG
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KIR
2 - 1
DIN
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MQA
1 - 0
ZAB
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ZAB
2 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MDI
0 - 5
ZAB
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ZAB
1 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
ZAB
3 - 0
KIR
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |