Dingli Swallows vs Zabbar St. Patrick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PIE
1 - 0
DIN
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 2
SGC
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
MEL
4 - 0
DIN
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 1
RAB
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 1
DIN
49%
22%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zabbar St. Patrick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ZAB
1 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
ZAB
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
PIE
2 - 1
ZAB
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ZAB
1 - 3
SGC
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
ZAB
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |