Dingli Swallows vs Msida St Joseph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SLI
3 - 1
DIN
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 2
FLO
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
BIR
2 - 0
DIN
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
DIN
1 - 2
HIB
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 3
HAM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
MSI
0 - 2
HAM
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TAR
3 - 1
MSI
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MSI
0 - 1
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
QOR
3 - 0
MSI
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
HIB
3 - 0
MSI
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |