Dinas Powys vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinas Powys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAL
6 - 0
DIN
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
TON
3 - 3
DIN
75%
16%
10%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 2
ABE
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ERA
1 - 1
DIN
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
DIN
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
TAF
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 6
GOY
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
DIN
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |