Dinas Powys vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinas Powys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
DIN
0 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
DIN
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DIN
2 - 2
ABE
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DIN
1 - 2
LID
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 1
DIN
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
GOY
15%
22%
64%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GOY
0 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |