Dinas Powys vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinas Powys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 1
LLW
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ERA
2 - 2
DIN
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 1
BRI
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
GOY
3 - 1
DIN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BFC
0 - 1
DIN
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MAE
1 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 4
TAF
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 0
NFC
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |