UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 6-3
Dinamo Zagreb vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
DZG
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
4 - 1
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 1
DZG
14%
23%
63%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 5
DZG
17%
24%
59%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
DZG
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHR
2 - 1
LUD
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
2 - 2
LUD
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
LUD
3 - 0
SHR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |